Hide spoilers · Off
Hide results after
Applies across every league; days end in each league’s local time.
Match data
MSI 2026 matches
Every match played, with each team's Effective Elo going in, the pre-match odds of winning the series, the result, and the Elo that changed hands. Back to the MSI 2026 chart.
| Date | Stage | Teams | Format | Effective Elo going in | Series odds | Result | Winner's odds | Elo change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSI 2026 · Play-In Day 1 | Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming | Bo5 | 1849 – 1537 | 98% – 2% | 3–0 | 98% | +13 / -13 | |
| MSI 2026 · Play-In Day 1 | T1 vs Team Liquid | Bo5 | 2024 – 1583 | 100% – 0% | 3–0 | 100% | +6 / -6 | |
| MSI 2026 · Play-In Day 2 | Karmine Corp vs T1 | Bo5 | 1871 – 2034 | 14% – 86% | 0–3 | 86% | -24 / +24 | |
| MSI 2026 · Play-In Day 2 | Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid | Bo5 | 1516 – 1572 | 35% – 65% | 0–3 | 65% | -34 / +34 | |
| MSI 2026 · Play-In Day 3 | Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid | Bo5 | 1831 – 1630 | 91% – 9% | 0–3 | 9% | -63 / +63 | |
| MSI 2026 · Play-In Day 4 | T1 vs Team Liquid | Bo5 | 2075 – 1737 | 98% – 2% | 3–0 | 98% | +11 / -11 | |
| MSI 2026 · Bracket Round 1 | G2 Esports vs Top Esports | Bo5 | 1880 – 1929 | 37% – 63% | 3–2 | 37% | +31 / -31 | |
| MSI 2026 · Bracket Round 1 | Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales | Bo5 | 2037 – 1637 | 99% – 1% | 3–0 | 99% | +9 / -9 | |
| MSI 2026 · Bracket Round 1 | LYON vs FURIA | Bo5 | 1746 – 1693 | 64% – 36% | 3–0 | 64% | +36 / -36 | |
| MSI 2026 · Bracket Round 1 | Bilibili Gaming vs T1 | Bo5 | 2032 – 2099 | 33% – 67% | 3–2 | 33% | +27 / -27 | |
| MSI 2026 · Bracket Round 1 | Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports | Bo5 | 1622 – 1894 | 4% – 96% | 3–1 | 4% | +65 / -65 | |
| MSI 2026 · Bracket Round 2 | Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports | Bo5 | 2034 – 1932 | 75% – 25% | 3–0 | 75% | +30 / -30 | |
| MSI 2026 · Bracket Round 1 | T1 vs FURIA | Bo5 | 2074 – 1633 | 100% – 0% | 3–0 | 100% | +6 / -6 | |
| MSI 2026 · Bracket Round 2 | Bilibili Gaming vs LYON | Bo5 | 2033 – 1806 | 93% – 7% | 3–0 | 93% | +19 / -19 | |
| MSI 2026 · Bracket Round 2 | LYON vs Team Secret Whales | Bo5 | 1775 – 1731 | 62% – 38% | 3–0 | 62% | +36 / -36 | |
| MSI 2026 · Bracket Round 2 | G2 Esports vs T1 | Bo5 | 1882 – 2085 | 9% – 91% | 3–1 | 9% | +51 / -51 | |
| MSI 2026 · Bracket Round 4 | Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports | Bo5 | 2065 – 2053 | 53% – 47% | 3–1 | 53% | +21 / -21 | |
| MSI 2026 · Bracket Round 3 | G2 Esports vs LYON | Bo5 | 1969 – 1835 | 81% – 19% | 0–3 | 19% | -57 / +57 | |
| MSI 2026 · Bracket Round 4 | Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON | Bo5 | 2017 – 1931 | 72% – 28% | 3–2 | 72% | +2 / -2 | |
| MSI 2026 · Finals | Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports | Bo5 | 2101 – 2020 | 71% – 29% | 2–3 | 29% | -31 / +31 |
Effective Elo going in is each team's rating immediately before game 1, listed in the same order as the teams. Effective Elo = Home Elo (the team's rating within its own league) + its region's adjustment, so teams from different regions are on one scale. Hover a rating for the breakdown.
Series odds are each team's pre-match chance of winning the whole best-of, from the standard Elo formula (a 400-point gap ≈ 91% in one game), compounded over the format assuming independent games. Winner's odds are the chance the eventual winner was given — the lower, the bigger the upset (under 30% is highlighted).
Elo change is each team's Home Elo after the match minus before it (Elo updates after every game). Odds for any two teams on any date: Elo calculator.