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Applies across every league; days end in each league’s local time.
Match data
MSI 2015 matches
Every match played, with each team's Effective Elo going in, the pre-match odds of winning the series, the result, and the Elo that changed hands. Back to the MSI 2015 chart.
| Date | Stage | Teams | Format | Effective Elo going in | Series odds | Result | Winner's odds | Elo change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSI 2015 · Day 1 | Beşiktaş Esports vs SK Telecom T1 | Bo1 | 1634 – 1835 | 24% – 76% | 0–1 | 76% | -5 / +5 | |
| MSI 2015 · Day 1 | Beşiktaş Esports vs TSM | Bo1 | 1526 – 1595 | 40% – 60% | 0–1 | 60% | -13 / +13 | |
| MSI 2015 · Day 1 | EDward Gaming vs ahq eSports Club | Bo1 | 1812 – 1696 | 66% – 34% | 1–0 | 66% | +11 / -11 | |
| MSI 2015 · Day 1 | Fnatic vs TSM | Bo1 | 1578 – 1623 | 44% – 56% | 1–0 | 44% | +18 / -18 | |
| MSI 2015 · Day 2 | EDward Gaming vs Beşiktaş Esports | Bo1 | 1839 – 1504 | 87% – 13% | 1–0 | 87% | +4 / -4 | |
| MSI 2015 · Day 2 | EDward Gaming vs Fnatic | Bo1 | 1827 – 1611 | 78% – 22% | 1–0 | 78% | +7 / -7 | |
| MSI 2015 · Day 2 | SK Telecom T1 vs Fnatic | Bo1 | 1836 – 1599 | 80% – 20% | 1–0 | 80% | +7 / -7 | |
| MSI 2015 · Day 2 | TSM vs ahq eSports Club | Bo1 | 1617 – 1680 | 41% – 59% | 0–1 | 59% | -13 / +13 | |
| MSI 2015 · Day 1 | ahq eSports Club vs Beşiktaş Esports | Bo1 | 1720 – 1497 | 78% – 22% | 1–0 | 78% | +7 / -7 | |
| MSI 2015 · Day 1 | Fnatic vs ahq eSports Club | Bo1 | 1588 – 1702 | 34% – 66% | 0–1 | 66% | -11 / +11 | |
| MSI 2015 · Day 1 | SK Telecom T1 vs EDward Gaming | Bo1 | 1847 – 1845 | 50% – 50% | 1–0 | 50% | +16 / -16 | |
| MSI 2015 · Day 1 | SK Telecom T1 vs TSM | Bo1 | 1874 – 1595 | 83% – 17% | 1–0 | 83% | +5 / -5 | |
| MSI 2015 · Semifinals | SK Telecom T1 vs Fnatic | Bo5 | 1883 – 1569 | 98% – 2% | 3–2 | 98% | -33 / +33 | |
| MSI 2015 · Day 2 | ahq eSports Club vs SK Telecom T1 | Bo1 | 1732 – 1826 | 37% – 63% | 0–1 | 63% | -12 / +12 | |
| MSI 2015 · Day 2 | Fnatic vs Beşiktaş Esports | Bo1 | 1626 – 1485 | 69% – 31% | 1–0 | 69% | +10 / -10 | |
| MSI 2015 · Day 2 | TSM vs EDward Gaming | Bo1 | 1586 – 1819 | 21% – 79% | 0–1 | 79% | -7 / +7 | |
| MSI 2015 · Finals | SK Telecom T1 vs EDward Gaming | Bo5 | 1847 – 1830 | 55% – 45% | 2–3 | 45% | -13 / +40 | |
| MSI 2015 · Semifinals | EDward Gaming vs ahq eSports Club | Bo5 | 1837 – 1712 | 80% – 20% | 3–0 | 80% | +27 / -27 |
Effective Elo going in is each team's rating immediately before game 1, listed in the same order as the teams. Effective Elo = Home Elo (the team's rating within its own league) + its region's adjustment, so teams from different regions are on one scale. Hover a rating for the breakdown.
Series odds are each team's pre-match chance of winning the whole best-of, from the standard Elo formula (a 400-point gap ≈ 91% in one game), compounded over the format assuming independent games. Winner's odds are the chance the eventual winner was given — the lower, the bigger the upset (under 30% is highlighted).
Elo change is each team's Home Elo after the match minus before it (Elo updates after every game). Odds for any two teams on any date: Elo calculator.